摘要
从出口商品结构的角度,对广东省1987—2007年的的初级产品出口、工业制成品出口和GDP的统计数据,运用协整等方法分析了其出口商品结构同经济增长的关系,得出结论:短期内,初级产品出口促进经济增长,工业制成品出口抑制经济增长;长期内,出口商品结构的优化则对经济增长有稳定的促进作用。
This paper explored the relationship between export commodity structure and economic growth in Guangdong Province from 1987 to 2007 by using the analysis method of cointegration. Empirical results revealed that in the short run primary goods export has favorable impact to economic growth and manufactured goods export had negatives impact to economic growth. While in the long run structure optimizing of export goods had a long-term promotion to economic growth.
出处
《广东农业科学》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第4期318-321,共4页
Guangdong Agricultural Sciences
关键词
出口商品结构
经济增长
协整
commodity export structure
economic growth
gointegration analysis
