摘要
滨海城市是我国开展滨海旅游活动的重要载体,定量测度不同滨海城市旅游开发潜力,加以比较来确定其开发类型与等级,对于促进我国滨海旅游合理规划与开发具有极大地指导意义和参考价值。本文选择旅游资源禀赋、旅游市场开发条件、区位交通优势、社会经济保障、生态环境承载能力等影响与制约滨海旅游发展的5个方面构建开发潜力评价指标体系,采用多目标线性加权法,建立潜力评价模型;依据同一时间截面各指标数值,定量测度与评价各滨海城市旅游开发潜力;把各潜力指数和综合潜力指数得分作为变量进行聚类分析,将14个滨海城市划分为四类开发潜力类型,进一步确定不同城市的旅游开发功能与发展方向。通过对我国滨海城市旅游开发潜力的客观评价,有助于将潜力比较优势转化为竞争优势,为滨海城市旅游资源合理开发、旅游业持续稳定发展提供政策指导和理论依据。
With the rapid development of coastal tourism industry in China,coastal cities play an increasingly important role in developing coastal tourism.In the present study,the authors evaluated tourism development potential for a variety of coastal cities in a quantitative way with the objective to rationally determine their development modes and degrees for the tourism industry. It is of great importance and meaningful reference for reasonable planning and development for coastal tourism.The authors developed an evaluation system which is primarily comprised of 5 factors influencing the tourism industry,i.e.,tourism resource endowment,tourism market development,regional traffic advantage,society and economy protection and the eco-environment carrying capacity.Further,the authors adopted the multi-objective linear weighted method to establish potential evaluation models.On the basis of current status of these indices at the same time cross-section,the authors also analyzed and evaluated the tourism development potential of subsystems for coastal cities.In the meanwhile,through taking scores of all potential indices and the integrated potential index as clustering variables,the authors performed the hierarchical clustering and grouped 14 coastal cities into 4 types of development potential.Furthermore,based on the developed system and analysis,the authors also specified tourism development functions for those cities and proposed development strategies for different types of coastal tourism cities.It is expected that on the basis of the evaluation,the potential and comparative advantages of these cities can be converted into competitive tourism development advantages.The paper provides a theoretical basis for policy making for reasonably developing tourism resources as well as the coastal tourism industry for coastal cities.
出处
《资源科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第5期899-906,共8页
Resources Science
基金
国家软科学项目:"我国沿海地区旅游产业集群演化机制与发展战略研究"(编号2009GXQ6D172)
山东省社会科学规划研究项目:"山东省旅游业发展环境与竞争态势研究"(编号08JDC031)
山东省软科学研究计划项目:"山东省旅游企业竞争力研究"(编号2008RKB083)
关键词
滨海城市
旅游开发
潜力指数
聚类分析
中国
Coastal city
Tourism development
Potential index
Cluster analysis
