摘要
21世纪以来,在改革开放的进一步推动下,我国城市化水平和对外开放程度不断提高,但城乡收入差距却呈现着不断扩大的趋势。城市化进程和对外开放的程度对城乡间的收入差距是否具有明显的影响作用,值得我们探寻。因此,本文以城市化、对外开放与城乡收入差距三者的相互作用机制为理论基础,根据广东省1978-2006年的时间序列数据,利用VAR模型对这三个变量进行动态计量分析。实证分析的结果表明:城市化和对外开放是造成广东省城乡收入差距扩大的主要原因,两者对城乡收入差距均产生明显的正向拉动效应,但随着时间的推移,相应的拉动效应呈逐渐减弱的趋势;而城乡收入差距对城市化与对外开放均没有明显的影响;另外,对外开放与城市化之间不存在因果关系。文章最后根据实证结论,提出缩小城乡收入差距,统筹城乡发展的有关政策建议。
The 21st century,during the further reform and opening up,China＇s urbanization level and openness are increasing,but the urban-rural inequality is showing a growing trend. Whether urbanization process and the degree of opening up influence the urban-rural inequality,we should explore. Therefore,this paper bases on the theory mechanism between urbanization,opening and the urban-rural inequality,and then analyzes the dynamic econometric relationships using VAR model according to data from 1978 to 2006. Results show that urbanization and opening is the cause to the urban-rural inequality,and the impact responses are positive,but appear to weaken over time. But the urban -rural inequality is not the cause to the urbanization and opening,and there is not interaction between opening and urbanization. Finally,based on the empirical conclusions,this paper put forward to some policy recommendations for narrowing urban-rural inequality and co-ordination urban-rural development.
出处
《技术经济与管理研究》
北大核心
2010年第4期16-19,共4页
Journal of Technical Economics & Management
基金
广东省哲学社会科学"十一五"规划项目2008年一般项目(08E-18)阶段性成果
