摘要
国家气象信息中心(NMIC)和美国大气海洋局气候预测中心合作开发了"中国逐日格点降水量实时分析系统(V1.0)",并已在NMIC投入业务试运行。该系统基于我国2419个国家级地面气象站日降水量观测(08:00—08:00,北京时)数据,采用"基于气候背景场"的最优插值方法,实时生成空间分辨率为0.5°×0.5°的格点化日降水量资料。通过对汛期典型区域和单站降水过程的对比分析表明:该格点化产品的精度较高,能准确捕捉并再现每一次降水过程。误差分析表明:约91%的数据绝对误差小于1.0 mm/d。该产品在定量分析天气实况、检验天气气候模式精度、检验卫星产品精度等方面有应用前景。
Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological factors.Its spatial and temporal distribution is critical in climate diagnostics,numerical models verifications and hydrological models initiation.Substantial progress has been made in the last two decades in quantitatively documenting global precipitation. The development and operation of precipitation analysis products over China are relatively lagging behind other countries.Through the cooperation with the Climate Prediction Center（CPC） affiliated to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration（NOAA）,the real-time operational system of daily precipitation analysis over China is established in National Meteorological Information Center（NMIC）.Based on the daily precipitation observations of over 2419 gauges,a system with the resolution of 0.5°×0.5°is established. It is consisted of four modules：Data obtaining,quality controlling,data processing and products serving.The kernel interpolation algorithm of this system is introduced from the CPC known as the climatological optimal interpolation（OI） method which can reduce the analysis error substantially arising from the large spatial discontinuity of precipitation.Daily climatology is defined for each station as the summation of the first 6 harmonics for the 365-calendar-day time series of the mean daily precipitation,and then climatology fields are created by interpolating the truncated station climatology through the algorithm of Shepard.These fields are then adjusted by the PRISM（Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model） monthly precipitation climatology data,and the temporal variation patterns in the original daily climatology time series which also reflect orographic effects reasonably are retained.Analyzed fields of the ratio between daily precipitation and climatology are derived by interpolating the corresponding station values through the OI technique.Analyses of total daily precipitation are finally calculated by multiplying the daily climatology with the daily ratio.This system runs stably with reasonable products and users can get the products in three formats after 09：20 everyday on CDC website.It is an integral part of China real-time and fine-resolution precipitation analyses system under construction.Further improvements of the gauge-based analysis will be implemented to correct the bias of wind effects.Collaborations in improving this system by refining the algorithm and merging with the satellite-based precipitation products are welcome.
出处
《应用气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第3期279-286,共8页
Journal of Applied Meteorological Science
基金
中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF-09-6)
气象行业科研专项经费(GYHY(QX)2007-6-5)共同资助
关键词
格点降水量
实时系统
气候背景场
最优插值
precipitation analysis
real-time system
climatology field
optimal interpolation
