摘要
利用我国1978-2008年间GDP和进出口总额等数据,运用协整理论、Granger因果关系检验等计量分析工具,对经济增长、出口与进口之间的关系进行了实证分析和研究,发现我国的出口、进口和GDP之间存在长期均衡关系,出口和进口对GDP都具有促进作用,其中出口的促进作用大于进口,GDP是出口和进口的单向Granger原因,最后对此进行了经济解释。
Based on the data of Chinese GDP and import and export,using econometric methods of Co-integration theory and Granger causality test,this paper empirically analyzed the relation between Economic Chinese growth and import and export,the research shows that there is the long-run equilibrium relation between Chinese GDP and import and export,also shows that import and export both promoted Chinese GDP.Finally,this paper explained the economic relation among the economic variables.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第7期52-54,共3页
On Economic Problems
