摘要
基于单一污染物难以表达环境污染状况的不足,本文提出了能够代表整体环境状况的污染排放指数,并首次运用一种基于整体差异的动态客观综合评价方法对中国28个省1995～2006年的环境污染状况进行了测度,分析了中国和分区域污染排放指数的变动趋势,并基于经济结构和能源因素视角,采用面板数据模型检验了中国和分区域污染排放指数的影响因素。分析表明,要实现"十一五"规划中主要污染物在2010年比2006年减少10%的约束性目标,从三大区域来看,应该重点监控东部地区;从省级区域看,应该重点加大对河北、江苏、辽宁、山东、四川、河南、山西、广东、浙江、湖北、湖南等省份污染排放的治理力度,提高能源利用效率、制定符合市场机制的能源价格体系、加大贸易开放度和降低煤炭消费在能源消费中的比例可以减少污染排放。
Since it was difficult for a single pollutant to reflect the environmental pollution situation, this paper proposed the pollution emission index, which could represent the overall state of the environment. The paper applied a dynamic objective comprehensive evaluation method, which was based on the overall differences, to evalu- ate the emissions of China＇s 28 provinces from 1995 to 2006. This paper analyzed the trend of China＇s and its regional emission index, and examined the influencing factors with the method of Panel Data Model from the perspec- tive of economic structure and energy factors. The analysis showed that to achieve the binding goal in the ＂Eleventh Five-Year＂ plan, that is to reduce the main pollutants by 10% when comparing 2010 with 2006, from the view of the three main regions, the monitoring should focus on the eastern region ; from the view of provincial regions, He- bei, Jiangsu, Liaoning, Shandong, Sichuan, Henan, Shanxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Hubei, Hunan etc. should intensify efforts to control the pollutant emissions. The paper found that pollutant emissions could be reduced through improving the efficiency of energy use, developing energy price system in line with market mechanisms, increasing trade openness and lowering the proportion of coal consumption in energy consumption.
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第8期159-165,共7页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目"能源消费
污染排放与我国经济可持续增长"(10CJL034)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金
西安交通大学"新教师科研支持计划"
西安交通大学"985工程"三期工程资助
关键词
污染排放指数
动态综合评价
档次拉开法
面板数据模型
pollution emissions index
dynamic comprehensive evaluation
scatter degree
panel data model
