摘要
货币危机预警是与投机性货币冲击理论的发展密切相关。货币危机预警的主要目的是提早识别危机发生的信号,以便该国能够及时采取适当的措施,减少危机发生的概率,乃至避免危机的发生,或者减少危机发生的强度和烈度。本文对近期货币危机主要预警模型或较新的若干预警模型进行较为详细梳理和评价。
The early warning model of currency crisis is closely related to the development of the speculative currency attacks theory. The main purpose of the early warning model of currency crisis is to distinguish the signal of currency crisis in earlier time to take appropriate measures to reduce the probability of currency crisis, even to avoid crisis or to reduce the intensity of crisis. The paper makes detailed classification and assessment on the early warning theories and models of currency crisis.
出处
《区域金融研究》
2010年第8期34-38,共5页
Journal of Regional Financial Research
关键词
货币危机
预警理论
综述
Currency Crisis
Theory of Early Warning Systems
Review