摘要
对电力系统的负荷预测问题进行了研究,并提出了一种改进后的模糊回归分析算法。该方法利用模糊预测法和回归分析法各自的优点,按不同情况下两种方法的重要程度,用区间层次分析法赋以灵活可调的权重值。通过算例验证,此方法适合于中长期电力系统负荷预测。
This paper studies the problems arising from load forecasting in electric power system and put forwards an improved fuzzy regression analysis which combines the advantages of both fuzzy forecasting and regression analysis and evaluates flexible and adjustable weight value by analytic hierarchy process according to the significance of the two methods under different circumstances.
出处
《黑龙江电力》
CAS
2010年第4期258-261,共4页
Heilongjiang Electric Power
关键词
电力系统
负荷预测
回归分析
模糊预测
区间层次分析
electric power system
load forecasting
regression analysis
fuzzy forecasting
analytic hierarchy process
