摘要
文章以2009年全国31省级行政区域为样本单位,运用因子分析方法从体现房地产泡沫的指标体系中找出3个公共因子,然后计算出各省份的综合得分。通过层次聚类分析方法,样本可以聚成5类,其结果基本上和因子分析的结果一致。分析表明:由于区域经济发展的不平衡,各省份的房地产泡沫存在较大差异,因此政府在制定房地产调控政策时必须对各地情况加以区别对待;只有采取因地制宜的政策,避免全国范围一刀切的情况,宏观调控才能有效地抑制房地产泡沫的产生。
All the 31 provincial administrative areas in 2009 are used as sample units, and three common factors are identified from the index system that reflects the real estate bubbles in factor analysis method, and then the composite scores of all provinces are calculated. By hierarchical cluster analysis, samples can be clustered into five categories, and the result is basically consistent with the result of factor analysis. As the regional economic development is imbalanced, there are large differences in the real estate bubble of the areas, so real estate policy should be different. Only by adopting the policy according to local conditions and avoiding uniformity in all the areas, macro-control policy can suppress the real estate bubble effectively.
出处
《西安财经学院学报》
2010年第5期40-43,共4页
Journal of Xi’an University of Finance & Economics
基金
重庆邮电大学博士启动基金项目"金融风险控制与税制选择"(CK2009-99)
关键词
房地产泡沫
省际差异
因子分析
聚类分析
real estate bubble
differences from provinces
factor analysis
cluster analysis
