摘要
价格是市场经济运行的核心与调节器,研究价格传导机制对于优化产业结构、稳定市场价格具有重要作用。本文以2001年12月我国加入世界贸易组织为界分时段对上下游价格指数间的传导及时滞关系进行实证研究。研究结果表明,我国价格传导机制发生了明显的变化:2002年以前是成本推进型的物价上涨,2002年以后是需求拉动型的物价上涨。因此,在当前我国经济改革已经基本成功的前提下,为进一步完善市场机制,更好地促进我国经济发展,一要加快经济结构调整,控制固定资产投资规模过度扩张;二要积极采取有效方式撬动内需,确保拉动经济的三驾马车并驾齐驱;三要加快完善竞争体系,增强参与国际竞争的能力。
The price is the core of market economy and the regulator, the price transmission mechanism is playing an important role in optimizing the industrial structure and stabilizing the market price. The authors discuss the transmission mechanism between upstream and downstream sub-sector price index and time lag delimit by December in 2001 when China joined the WTO. The results show that the price transmission mechanism changed markedly: it is cost-push price inflation before 2002; it is demand-pull inflation after 2002. Then some suggestions about our economic policies has been given, such as accelerating economic restructure and limiting the undue expanding of fix asset investment, adopting effective method to stimulate domestic demand, accelerating the improvement of competition system and enhancing the international competitiveness.
出处
《中国流通经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第9期58-61,共4页
China Business and Market
基金
北京市教委重点课题“北京市宏观经济动态监测指标体系研究”(项目编号:09BaJG245、SZ200910037013);教育部重大招标课题“我国货币政策体系与传导机制研究”(项目编号:08JD0015)资助.
关键词
价格传导机制
K—L信息量
时差相关分析
price transmission mechanism
K-L information quantum
time-difference correlation analysis