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气候变化综合评估模型 被引量:10

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS ON CLIMATIC CHANGES
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摘要 本文概述了气候变化综合评估模型(IAM)的定义、组成、特点及应用。IAM可视为一种促进人类更好地理解气候变化问题的工具,它为研究者和决策者提供了一种十分有益的关注环境问题的框架或方法论。在此基础上,该文具体介绍了国外一个发展相对成熟的气候变化综合评估模型——温室效应综合评估模型(IMAGE2.0) This paper presents a brief introduction of integrated assessment models (IAM) of climatic change. Then the Integrated Model to Assess Greenhouse Effect 2.0 (IMAGE2.0), a multi disciplinary, integrated model designed to simulate the dynamic of the global society-biosphere-climate system and to evaluate consequences of climate policies is introduced. This suggests that IAMs are useful tools so far to quantify as much as possible the cause effect relationships of the climate change problem and the cross-linkages and interactions between diverse issues concerned. Chinese research community should pay more attention to the development of IAMs so as to broaden our understanding of climatic change and to aid the decision making process about influences of human activities on environmental and climatic change.
出处 《地理科学进展》 CSCD 1999年第1期60-67,共8页 Progress in Geography
基金 国家自然科学基金 中国科学院重大项目
关键词 气候变化 综合评估模型 温室效应 全球变化 climatic change, integrated assessment models (IAM), Integrated Model to Assess Greenhouse Effect 2.0(IMAGE2.0)
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