摘要
目的建立疾病控制系统应对突发公共卫生事件应急能力的综合评价模型及评价指标体系。方法运用层次分析法建立综合评价初步指标体系,采用德尔菲法确定指标及其权重,综合评分法建立综合评价模型,并通过计算专家权威系数、积极系数、协调系数及显著性检验对模型进行评价。结果建立了由7个一级指标、22个二级指标和94个三级指标组成的综合评价体系。参与两轮咨询的专家的权威系数为0.83,应答率分别为100%和93.3%,第1轮咨询的协调系数为0.31(χ2=95.72,P>0.05),第2轮咨询协调系数为0.53(χ2=130.25,P<0.05)。结论通过德尔菲法建立的综合评价指标体系涵盖了疾病控制系统应对突发事件应急能力的各方面,具有较强适用性,同时,专家的权威系数、积极系数和协调系数显示该体系具有较高的可信度。
Objective To establish a model using a set of indicators to evaluate CDC＇s response capacity for public health emergency. Methods Hierarchy process theory was applied to establish the initial assessing framework. Delphi method was applied to screen and choose the ultimate indicators and their weights. An assessment model was set up on the basis of synthetic scored method. A series indexes were used to test the feasibility of the model,including authority modulus,positive modulus and harmony modulus.Results A comprehensive model was established including 7 first-class indicators,22 second-class indicators and 94 third-class indicators. The authority modulus is 0.83. The recovery rate first and second round Delphi consultation tables is 100% and 93.3%,respectively. The harmony modulus is 0.31 in the first round Delphi consultation（χ2=95.72,P0.050）,and 0.53 in the second round. Conclusion The indicator system covers all the aspects of CDC＇s capacity for public health emergency response. It has a strong applicability in practice. The model shows high reliability in case of authority modulus,positive modulus and harmony modulus
出处
《检验医学与临床》
CAS
2010年第22期2443-2445,共3页
Laboratory Medicine and Clinic
基金
重庆市医学科技计划项目(No.07-2-203)
关键词
德尔菲法
疾控系统
应急能力
评价
delphi method
disease control and prevention
emergency capability
evaluation
