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The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes
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摘要 Since 1949, Chinese scientists have successfully predicted occurrence of many major earthquakes, such as the Haicheng MT. 3 event in 1975 and the Asian Game Village shock of 1990. In recent 20 years, however, some seis-mologists abroad have taken a disappointed and pessimistic view to earthquake prediction because of several failures. They suggest that the efforts should turn toward other fields, such as identification of building' s earthquake-proof capability, enhancement of house strength, and development of precise observational systems which will facilitate fast loca- ting of future major temblors and emergent relief on site. Such a pessimistic feeling has also influenced some Chinese researchers of the seismological community who attempted to give up efforts for earthquake prediction. Meanwhile other scientific workers are insisting in experiments and practices in this field and achieved some inspiring results. In this paper, we present several representative cases to illustrate that earthquakes are predictable under some conditions.
机构地区 Institute of Geology
出处 《Engineering Sciences》 EI 2010年第4期2-12,共11页 中国工程科学(英文版)
关键词 Wenchuan Earthquake strong earthquake prediction generating fault for major earthquake 地震预报 大地震 地震预测 中国科学家 科学工作者 海城地震 地震活动 抗震能力
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