摘要
推导了扩展线性支出系统模型参数的贝叶斯估计,结合全国农村居民消费现状,采用改革开放以来农村居民消费和收入等相关经济序列数据,对我国农村居民消费结构进行了实证分析,以后验均值和后验中位数作为模型参数的后验估计,并分析了我国农村居民消费结构的发展变化趋势。最后,根据上述实证结果得出了促进经济增长,扩大消费需求的一些建议。
The Bayesian estimation of the expanded line expenditure system model parameter is deduced first,and then the current consumption structure of domestic rural residents are analyzed considering the consumption and income data of the rural residents since the year of reformation and opening-up.Also the posterior mean and posterior median as the posterior estimation for the model parameters are discussed.We give both the trend of the consumption structure and some suggestions to promote the economy.
出处
《长春工业大学学报》
CAS
2010年第5期481-485,共5页
Journal of Changchun University of Technology
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(11071026)
吉林省自然科学基金资助项目(20101598)
关键词
消费结构
需求函数
贝叶斯估计
consumption structure
demand function
Bayesian estimation
