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利用SAS软件建立竹卵圆蝽预测预报模型的探讨 被引量：4

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摘要 对浙江省余杭区2002-2008年竹卵圆蝽危害毛竹资源情况进行调查,筛选影响株虫口密度的因子;根据2002-2007年搜集的数据,建立预测预报模型y=2 186.113 56-35.596 78 x21-15.859 40 x35+3.880 38 x15-1.172 89 x11;用2008年数据进行回测及拟和性检验,发生情况与预报结果符合率为98.6%。
作者 朱晓倩 马良进
机构地区 浙江农林大学林业与生物技术
出处 《浙江农业科学》 2010年第6期1346-1348,共3页 Journal of Zhejiang Agricultural Sciences
基金 林业重大有害生物预警及综合防治关键技术研究及应用示范(2006C12100)
关键词 竹卵圆蝽 预测预报 SAS 回归模型
分类号 S795 [农业科学—林木遗传育种]
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参考文献6

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  • 1Drake, V. A. and R. A. Farrow 1983 The nocturnal migration of the Australian plague locust, Chortoicetes terminifera (Walker) ( Orthoptera: Acrididae) : quantitative radar observations of a series of northward flights. Bulletin of Entomological Research 73: 576-585.
  • 2Hunter, D.M. 1982 Adult development in the Australian plague locust, Chortoicetes terminifera (Walker) ( Orthoptera: Acrididae). Bulletin of Entomological Research 72 : 589-595.
  • 3Hunter, D.M. 1983 The maintenance of body temperature in adult Australian plague locusts. Journal of the Australian Entomological Society 22: 135-136.
  • 4Hunter, D. M and M. D. Melville 1994 The rapid and long lasting growth of grasses following small falls of rain on stony downs in the arid inland of Australia. Australian Journal of Ecology 19:46-51.
  • 5Hunter, D. M., L. McCulloch and D. E. Wright 1981 Lipid accumulation and migratory flight in the Australian plague locust, Chortoicetes terminifera (Walker) ( Orthoptera: Acrididae). Bulletin of Entomological Research 71 : 543-546.
  • 6Hunter, D.M., R.J. Milner, J. C. Scanlan and P. A. Spu,gin 1999 Aerial treatment of the migratory locust Locusta migratoria ( L. ) ( Orthoptera: Acrididae), with Metarhizium anisopliae (Deuteromycotina: Hyphomycetes) in Australia. Crop Protection 18: 699-704.
  • 7Hunter D. M., R. J. Milner and P. A. Spurgin 2001 Aerial treatment of the Australian plague locust, Chortoicetes terminifera (Orthoptera: Acrididae) with Metarhizium anisopliae (Deuteromycotina: Hyphomycetes). Bulletin of Entomological Research 91: 93-99.
  • 8Hunter, D.M., K. Strong and P.A. Spurgin 1998 Management of populations of the spur-throated locust, Austracris guttulosa (Walker) and migratory locust Locusta migratoria (L.) (Orthoptera: Acrididae), in eastern Australia during 1996 and 1997. Journal of Orthoptera Research 7: 173-178.
  • 9Rochester, W. A., M. L. Dillon, G. P. Fitt and M. P. Zalucki 1996 A simulation model of long-distance migration of Helicoverpa spp moths. Ecological Modelling 86: 151-156.
  • 10Wright, D. E., D. M. Hunter and P. M. Symmons 1989 Use of pasture growth indices to predict the survival and development of the Australian plague locust, Chortoicetes terminifera ( Orthoptera: Acrididae). Journal of the Australian Entomological Society 27:135-136.

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二级引证文献14

浙江农业科学
2010年 第6期

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