摘要
从历史和现实的视角看,如果说布雷顿森林体系的崩溃导致了欧洲货币体系的形成和欧元的诞生,那么美国金融危机引发的国际货币动荡正在使东亚各国脱离美元本位,寻找区域内稳定的"货币锚",而人民币则有可能成为东亚区域内首选的"货币锚"。本文拟从多边汇率相互影响的视角出发,实证分析人民币汇率变动态势及其与东亚其他货币之间联动关系的变化(包括其它国际货币汇率的变动对东亚其它货币之间关系变化的比较),从而揭示人民币成为区域"锚"货币、成为区域主导货币的可能性及其途径、进而了解人民币经济区形成的条件和趋势。
From the perspective of history and reality, If the collapse of the Breton Woods system led to the formation of the European Monetary System and coming into being the Euro, so the U. S. financial crisis triggered the international monetary turmoil, which is making the East Asian countries separate from the U. S. Dollar Standard and Search for stable＂ currency anchor ＂in the region. RMB may become the preferred ＂currency an-chor ＂in East Asia. This paper analyses from the interaction of multilateral exchange rate, studies the RMB exchange rate situation and its linkage parison of the impact on East Asian relationships between the other East Asian currencies. Including the comcurrencies by other international currency exchange rates. The study want to reveal the possibilities and means of RMB as a regional ＂anchor＂ currency, and find out the conditions and trends of the formation of the RMB economic zone.
出处
《财经问题研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第1期58-67,共10页
Research On Financial and Economic Issues
基金
国家社会科学基金规划项目"国际货币体系改革及人民币的国际地位与作用研究"(10BGJ019)
关键词
人民币
汇率
货币锚
主导货币
RMB
exchange rate
currency anchor
dominant currency
