摘要
为优化农村居民消费结构,选取食品、衣着、居住、家用设备、医疗保健、交通与通讯、文教娱乐和其他8个方面人均生活消费支出数据,在聚类分析的基础上,运用灰色关联分析模型和GM(1,1)预测模型对河北省农村居民消费结构变动情况进行了灰色关联分析。结果表明:农村居民消费结构有所改善,农村居民消费结构从生存资料为主开始向享受资料和发展资料转变。但当前河北省在一定时期内还存在制约农村居民消费结构优化的因素。针对这些制约因素,提出了对策建议。
The changes in consumption structure of rural residents in Hebei province were analyzed using gray correlation analysis model and the GM(1,1) prediction model based on cluster analysis of per capita individual consumption expenditures data,including food,clothing,living,household equipments,medical care,transportation and communication,culture and education and amusement and others to optimize the consumption structure in rural areas.Results show that the consumption structure of rural residents has changed to some extent from means of subsistence-dominant to enjoyment and development.Countermeasures and suggestions aiming at optimizing the consumption structure of rural residents are proposed as the constraints will still exist in a given period.
出处
《贵州农业科学》
CAS
北大核心
2011年第1期205-208,共4页
Guizhou Agricultural Sciences
基金
河北省统计局重点项目"河北省农村居民消费需求的实证分析"(2010HZ02)
河北省教育厅人文社科研究项目"河北省城镇居民消费变动对经济增长的影响研究"的阶段性研究成果
关键词
消费结构
农村居民
灰色关联
consumption structure
rural residents
gray correlation