摘要
本文分别利用时间序列数据和省际面板数据,对中国CO2环境库兹涅茨曲线进行经验估计,实证研究贸易开放和FDI对中国CO2排放的影响效应。1952-2007年时间序列协整分析表明,贸易开放对CO2排放具有负的效应,但统计上不显著。1983-2007年时间序列协整检验表明,贸易开放对CO2排放具有正的效应,FDI对CO2排放具有负的效应,但均不显著。1995~2007年省级面板数据的协整检验分析表明,贸易开放对二氧化碳排放具有统计上显著的正效应;而FDI对CO2排放具有负的效应,同样不显著。
The paper uses time series data and provincial panel data and selects totoal carbon dioxide emissions, per capita carbon dioxide emissions and carbon dioxide emission indensity as the index of carbon dioxide emissions to estimate the environmental Kuznets Curve of China's carbon dioxide emissions in order to show the impact of trade openness and FDI inflows on China's carbon dioxide emissions. We find the result of cointegration analyzed by time series in 1952-2007 data shows that trade openness has a negative impact on carbon dioxide emissions, but statistically not in significant. The result of cointegration analysis by time series data in 1983-2007 shows that trade openness has a positive impact on carbon dioxide emissions and FDI has a negative on carbon emissions, but they are not in significant statistically. The result of cointegration analysis by provincial data in 1995-2007 shows that trade openness has a positive impact on carbon dioxide emissions and statistically significant; while FDI on carbon dioxide emissions has a negative impact, not statistically in significant.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第3期21-35,共15页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
全球战略规划项目基金(SPF)支持的"不同经济条件下中国特色的低碳之路"项目资助
"山东省服务业创新与发展软科学研究基地"
山东财政学院研究生学位点建设和科研团队建设工程项目资助