摘要
运用协整分析方法,以1985～2008年河南省的数据为例,研究了农村居民消费与经济增长的动态均衡关系.研究表明,河南省农村居民的生活消费和人均GDP之间是协整的,两者存在长期的动态均衡关系.农村居民的人均食品消费支出对于经济增长的拉动作用较文教娱乐、医疗保健更大.在滞后期为3年或4年时,人均GDP的增长和农村居民家庭的生活消费支出变化构成双向因果关系;在滞后期为1年时,人均GDP的增长对农村居民家庭的文化、教育、娱乐用品及服务支出以及农村居民家庭的医疗保健变化构成单向因果关系.
This study based on the data in Henan from 1985 to 2008, focuses on the dynamic balanced relationship between the rural life expenses and the economic growth using the method of correlated analysis. The research result shows that there exists a dynamic balanced relationship between the rural life expenses and the per capita GDP. The rural per capita food consumption expenses exerts a greater pull on the economic growth than the culture, education, recreation and health care. In the stag- nant period of three and four year, the per capita GDP growth and the rural household life cost form the two-way directional canse-effect relationship ; in the stagnant period of one year, the per capita GDP growth forges a uni-directional cause-effect relationship with the expenses of culture, education, and recreation as well as with the health care cost.
出处
《河南工程学院学报（自然科学版）》
2011年第1期38-44,共7页
Journal of Henan University of Engineering：Natural Science Edition
基金
河南省政府决策研究招标课题(B089)
关键词
农村居民生活消费
经济增长
自相关
误差修正模型
life consumption of the rural people
economic growth
self-correlation
error-modifying model
