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经济转型时期农户的预防性储蓄强度:来自浙江省的证据 被引量:9

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摘要 本文使用纵跨1986~1991年和1995~2006年两个时期的浙江省农村固定观察点数据,选取收入结构的急剧转变作为观察经济转型的微观视角,通过运用简约回归方法检验缓冲存货模型的推论,定量估计了农户的预防性储蓄强度。我们发现,浙江省农户不仅持有预防性储蓄以应对收入风险,而且,具有很强的预防性储蓄动机。模拟的结果显示,对处于财富均值水平的农户而言,收入风险的标准差每增加50%,预防性储蓄占家庭净财富的比重增加75%。对全体样本农户而言,倘若完全消除收入风险,预防性储蓄消失将导致家庭净财富总和下降67%。
出处 《管理世界》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第5期81-92,共12页 Journal of Management World
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