寻找制度的工具变量：估计产权保护对中国经济增长的贡献被引量：241

Looking for Instruments for Institutions: Estimating the Impact of Property Rights Protection on Chinese Economic Performance

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摘要本文旨在建立制度的合适工具变量,从而能够正确估计制度对中国经济增长的贡献。文章提出以中国1919年基督教教会初级小学的注册学生人数作为制度的工具变量,并详细论述工具变量的相关性和外生性诸条件。通过两阶段最小二乘法,本文发现制度对中国经济的贡献显著为正。在控制了地理因素和政府政策效应等变量以后,制度对经济增长的效应仍然最为显著。 This paper estimates the impact of institutions on economic performance in China. We use the enrollment in Christian missionary lower primary schools in China in 1919 as the instrument for current institutions. Employing the two - stage least squares method, we find that the impact of institutions on Chinese economic growth is positive and statistically significant. The result survives from various robustness checks with addition of geographic and policy related variables.

作者方颖赵扬

机构地区厦门大学王亚南经济研究院教育部计量经济学重点实验室(厦门大学) 福建省统计科学重点实验室中国国际金融有限公司研究部

出处《经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第5期138-148,共11页 Economic Research Journal

基金国家自然科学基金面上项目(70971113) 厦门大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金(2010221092)的资助

关键词制度地理因素政策效应 Institution Geographic Factors Economic Policy

分类号 F124 [经济管理—世界经济]

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