摘要
针对新侦察装备的故障率和维修率未知的情况,建立基于复合泊松过程理论的侦察装备可靠性概率模型。简述复合泊松过程的概念,对未知装备故障率和维修率的侦察装备可靠性进行分析、仿真。结果表明,该可靠性概率模型不依赖于系统的参数,可动态分析系统的可靠性,也可预测某个系统可靠性的未知参数。
Aiming at the condition that the breakdown rate and the maintain rate of the new scout equipment is unknown,scout equipment credibility probability model based on compound Poisson process theories is established.Recount the notion of the compound Poisson process briefly,then analysis and emulate the scout equipment which the breakdown rate and the maintain rate of equipment is unknown.Result shows that the credibility probability model isn＇t dependent on the system parameters,for this reason,it not only can complete the dynamic analyze to the system credibility,but also can predict unknown parameter of a certain equipment system credibility.
出处
《兵工自动化》
2011年第6期37-39,共3页
Ordnance Industry Automation
关键词
侦察装备
可靠性
概率模型
复合泊松过程
scout equipment
credibility
probability model
compound Poisson process
