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基于巢式Logit模型的公交出行方式选择行为研究 被引量:33

A Study on Bus Travel Mode Choice Behavior Based on a Nested Logit Model
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摘要 近年来,随着我国国民经济的不断增长,城市机动化水平的逐渐提高,城市交通和环境的压力不断增大,提高大容量公交系统的服务水平,增加其吸引力是我们迫切需要解决的问题。本文基于北京市第三次居民出行调查数据,从个体出行行为的角度分析城市居民公交出行的特征和规律;同时,采用巢式Logit模型方法,建立了基于时间的交通方式选择模型,定量分析了出行者各种属性特征对公交出行方式选择行为的影响程度,为制定相应的公交需求管理政策提供了参考依据. In recent years,with the continuous growth of national economy and the gradual increase of the urban motorization level,the pressure from traffic and environmental problems becomes more and more serious.Improving the service level of public transport and its attractiveness is an urgent need.This study based on the third resident travel survey data in Beijing,analyzes the bus travel characteristics and rules from the perspective of individual travel behavior.Meanwhile,using the Nested Logit modeling theory,this study develops a travel mode choice model based on travel time to quantitatively analyze the effect of the various attributes of individual travelers on the behavior of the bus choice,and proposes suggestions to make corresponding policies for public transport demand management.
出处 《交通运输系统工程与信息》 EI CSCD 2011年第A01期120-125,共6页 Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology
关键词 城市交通 出行行为 公交出行 巢式LOGIT模型 urban traffic trip behavior bus trip nested Logit model
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参考文献3

  • 1Ben-Akiva M,Lerman SR.Discrete choice analysis:theory and application to travel damand[M].Massachusetts:The MIT Press,1985.
  • 2北京交通发展研究中心,北京交通大学.北京市第三次居民出行调查数据处理与分析报告[R].2005.
  • 3McDonaid R P.An index of goodness of fit based on noncentrality[J].Journal of Classification.1998,6:97-103.

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