摘要
冷战结束后,东亚国际关系中出现的新现象是中国的迅速崛起和美国的霸权护持;但与此同时,中美两国之间并未重现冷战时期美苏对抗的局面。"中美制度均势"可以合理地解释中美互动关系和该地区出现的制度化安全发展趋势。"中美制度均势"的含义是,中美两国在经济相互依存加深的背景下通过国际制度对彼此实施的机制化制衡。在中美经济相互依存日益加深和共同参与大量国际机制的背景下,中美两国都采取了制度均势行为。在未来相当长时期内,中国的实力仍无法与美国抗衡,在国际体系中无法挑战美国。在中国和平发展的关键时期,我们要避免重蹈日本和德国当年的覆辙,慎言中美对抗。中美制度均势对中美关系发展和中国和平发展的启示在于:中国要继续实施和完善对美制度均势战略;中美都应继续鼓励对方参与东亚地区的国际制度;中美都要继续加深两国间的经济相互依存。
Since the end of Cold War,the international relations in East Asia have shown a new phenomenon that China rises rapidly while the U.S. maintains its hegemony in this region. However, China and the U.S. haven’t re-acted the same confrontation as the U.S. and the former Soviet Union had experienced during the Cold War. The China-US institutional balancing can reasonably explain the above phenomenon and the trend of institutional security in East Asia. It suggests that the deepening economic interdependence creates a condition under which China or the United States is more likely to conduct a new balancing strategy to counter each other and pursue security through international institutions. In response to the deepening economic interdependence between China and the U.S. and the jointly participated international institutions, both China and the U.S. adopted institutional balancing strategies. In a rather long time in the future, China has no real power to balance and challenge the U.S in international system. Thus, China should continue to carry out institutional balancing to the United States; both China and the U.S. should encourage each other to participate in international institutions in East Asia; both China and the U.S. should deepen mutual economic interdependence.
出处
《世界经济与政治》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第7期94-110,158,共17页
World Economics and Politics
基金
中国博士后科学基金(资助编号:201003255)
复旦大学亚洲研究中心的资助
关键词
中国
美国
东亚
制度均势
China, the Untied States, East Asia, institutional balancing
