摘要
本文利用全国第六次人口普查数据,对2000-2010年间妇女生育率进行了估算,考察与分析了中国人口发展的现状与前景。研究表明:中国妇女生育率早已降至1.5左右的极低水平,生育率过低不是中国的福音,如果任其发展,中国可持续发展的前景将不堪设想。重新审视中国面临的人口形势与人口问题,调整现行生育政策是避免中国未来出现严重人口危机的必然的战略选择。
The essay observes and analyses China＇s population fact and prospect by appraising the women＇s birth rate from 2000 to 2010 on the data of the Sixth National Census.It finds that women＇s birth rate in China decreases to 1.5 which is much too low comparatively.Low birth rate is no good to China.If let it be,China will meet severe challenge in future.Rethinking China＇s population issue and position and adjust the present birth policy is the inevitable and strategic choice to avoid the possible population crises in future.
出处
《南京社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第8期53-59,共7页
Nanjing Journal of Social Sciences
关键词
生育率
生育政策
调整
六普
birth rate
birth policy
adjust
the Sixth National Census
