摘要
为预测大学教员职称趋势走向问题,基于系统动力学的老化链与协流理论,构建影响教员职称晋升的各元素存量流量图,建立带有四阶延迟的大学教员职称晋升预测模型,并以系统动力学软件Vensim PLE 5.9为平台进行建模仿真。运行结果表明,该模型能进行大学教员职称晋升趋势的预测,可为大学教员职业规划方案的制定提供理论依据与技术基础。
The paper builds the stock and flow diagrams about every element of impacting teachers promotion on the basis of aging chains and auxiliary flow line theory,establishes the prediction model with 4-step delay for teachers promotion in university to predict the professional title trend for teachers in university,and simulates with system dynamics software Vensim PLE 5.9.The simulation result shows that the model can predict the professional title promotion trend for university teachers and provide theoretical evidence and technical support for making occupational planning for teachers in university.
出处
《计算机与现代化》
2011年第10期15-18,23,共5页
Computer and Modernization
基金
中国博士后科学基金(20080431386)
关键词
教员
职称
晋升
系统动力学
模型
teachers
professional title
promotion
system dynamics
model
