摘要
针对区域水资源可持续开发利用研究中未来年份区域需水量估计预测问题,建立了基于灰色理论的区域水资源需水量预测模型。奎屯市需水量预测值与实际值对比分析,及数理统计检验中的后验差检验结果表明,该模型可用于区域水资源需求量预测。
Be aimed at forecasting for the requirement of regional water resources in the future years in the studying on sustainable exploitation and utilization of water resources,this article had established forecasting model of the requirement of regional water resources based on grey theory.The results of forecasting for the requirement of water and the actual water requirement comparative analysis,and the checkout way of posterior margin of mathematical statistics of Kuitun city show that the forecasting model have very high accuracy,and it can forecast for the requirement of regional water resources commendably.
出处
《人民黄河》
CAS
北大核心
2011年第10期44-45,共2页
Yellow River
基金
伊犁师范学院重点科研项目(zd08017)
关键词
灰色理论
区域水资源
需水量预测
奎屯市
grey theory
regional water resources
forecasting for the water requirement
Kuitun city
