摘要
作者旨在回答一个重要的问题:防御性现实主义在进攻性现实主义时代的命运如何?这个问题可以分解为两个小问题:进攻性现实主义时代下的防御性现实主义国家面临哪些生存压力?这些生存压力对防御性现实主义国家会造成哪些影响?作者认为,在进攻性现实主义时代,防御性现实主义国家面临五种生存压力:防御性现实主义国家是进攻性现实主义国家进攻的诱因;防御性现实主义国家经常遭遇进攻性现实主义国家的攻击;防御性现实主义国家被进攻性现实主义国家包围;防御性现实主义国家几乎无法和进攻性现实主义国家合作;防御性现实主义国家的军力通常在整体上或在关键指标上落后于进攻性现实主义国家。在这些生存压力之下,防御性现实主义国家的生存质量堪忧,在重要的物质利益和国家的自主性两项指标上的表现难如人意。作者采取了案例分析的方法,以中国宋朝和波兰为例,论证了进攻性现实主义时代的防御性现实主义困境。
This paper aims to answer a salient but not well solved question:what is the fate of a defensive realist state in the era of offensive realism? The question can be decomposed into two sub-questions:First,what survival pressures does a defensive realist state encounter in the era of offensive realism? Second,what impacts do these survival pressures pose on a defensive realist state? The author argues that a defensive realist state encounters five survival pressures in the offensive realist context,under which two indicators are far from satisfactory and thus the survival quality of a defensive realist state worrying.The author makes a case study,with evidences from the Song Dynasty and from Poland,to investigate the difficulties that a defensive realist state faces in the context of offensive realism.
出处
《世界经济与政治》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第11期99-123,159,共25页
World Economics and Politics
