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中国对外贸易空间集聚效应及其影响因素分析 被引量:33

Research on Spatial Agglomeration and Its Determinants of Foreign Trade in China
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摘要 本文利用空间统计分析和空间计量分析方法,对我国部分省区市对外贸易的空间集聚效应及其影响因素进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:从各省区市的整体来看,对外贸易存在显著的空间集聚效应,东部省份具有强强集聚的"马太效应",中西部省份具有弱弱集聚的"马太效应",东部以及中西部之间的差异较为明显,并且随着时间的推移这种集聚现象越来越明显;从三大区域对外贸易的发展来看,东部地区和西部地区的空间效应比较明显,中部地区的空间效应不明显,人均GDP水平、高校在校学生人数是影响各区域对外贸易发展的共同因素。 This paper studies the spatial agglomeration effect and determinants of foreign trade in the way of positive analysis, by the spatial statistics and spatial econometrics. The results turn out to be several main points. Taking 30 provinces as a whole, foreign trade has a significant spatial agglomeration effect. The eastern provinces are mainly characterized by "high-high cluster" phenomenon, while the central and western provinces are mainly characterized by "low-low cluster" phenomenon. At the same time, this distinction seems to be more and more serious. In the regional level, the spatial effect in the eastern and western is more noticeable, the number of school students and GDP are determinants of all the three regions.
作者 魏浩 王宸
出处 《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第11期66-82,共17页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金 教育部社科项目"对外贸易对我国城乡收入差距影响的实证研究"(10YJC790272) 李翀教授主持的国家社科基金重大项目"加快推进对外经济发展方式转变研究"(10zd&017) 张二震教授主持的国家社科基金重点项目"外贸顺差问题研究"(08AJY004) 马野青教授主持的国家社科基金项目"中国对外贸易不平衡发展趋势研究"(10BJY079)的阶段性研究成果 "中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助"项目(105563GK)
关键词 对外贸易 空间集聚 空间统计 空间计量 Foreign Trade Cluster Radiation Determinants
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