摘要
In this paper, a statistical interpretation composite forecast model for typhoon track is set up by us-ing numerical forecast products and several forecast schemes. Tested in 1994 typhoon season, its forecastperformance is much better than that of a previous statistical forecast model. The test shows that it is aneffective method that sufficiently Anproves objective forecast of typhoon track using the numerical fore-cast output products obtained in forecast and adopting several schemes in composition.
In this paper, a statistical interpretation composite forecast model for typhoon track is set up by us-ing numerical forecast products and several forecast schemes. Tested in 1994 typhoon season, its forecastperformance is much better than that of a previous statistical forecast model. The test shows that it is aneffective method that sufficiently Anproves objective forecast of typhoon track using the numerical fore-cast output products obtained in forecast and adopting several schemes in composition.
