摘要
基于1981-2008年数据,采用协整检验方法,实证分析了金砖四国的碳排放与能源消费结构和经济增长之间的长期均衡关系和短期相互影响,结果表明:长期来看,各国的碳排放与各种能源消费均具有显著正相关关系,中国的碳排放与GDP负相关,而其他三国均是正相关;短期来看,煤炭消费是影响中国、俄罗斯和巴西碳排放的一个重要的共同的能源消费因素,中国、印度和巴西的经济增长均是导致石油消费增加的重要影响因素。
Based on the data from 1981-2008, this paper investigates the relationships among carbon emission, energy consumption construct, and economic growth, using the cointegration method. As the empirical results shown, in the long-run equilibrium, there is a long-term equilibrium positive relationship between carbon emission and various energy consumptions in BRIC. And, between carbon emission and GDP, there is negative correlation in China while there are positive correlations in other three countries. Additionally, in the short -run equilibrium, in all energy consumption structure, coal consumption is the important common impact on carbon emission of China, Russian and Brazil. Furthermore, GDP led to the increase in oil consumption in China, India and Brazil.
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第6期18-22,33,共6页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(70901044)
中国博士后科学基金资助项目(20100480577)
江苏省社科联应用研究课题(11SC-009)
江苏省高校青蓝工程项目
江苏省政府留学基金项目联合资助
关键词
碳排放
金砖四国
协整
能源消费结构
Carbon Emissions, BRIC, Cointegation, Energy Consumption Structure
