摘要
对突发公共事件应急预案进行客观准确的评估,是保证预案能够取得理想处置效果的关键。本文首先对信息不完全下突发公共事件应急预案影响因素进行分析,然后对面向多专家语言决策的应急预案评估问题进行描述,最后运用模糊证据推理算法对多专家给出的应急预案语言评价信息进行合成,得出应急预案优劣排序。
The accurate and objective evaluation of contingency plans for public emergency is the key factor to ensure ideal effect. The influence factors of public emergency contingency plan are first analyzed. The evaluation problem of public emergency contingency plan for multi-expert inguistic decision making is described. The algo- rithms of fuzzy evidential reasoning are used to aggregate all linguistic evaluation information of contingency plan which multiple experts give, then obtain the rank of contingency plan preference.
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第12期158-163,共6页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
基金
教育部人文社会科学基金项目"信息不确定环境下服务供应链可靠性决策模型及其应用研究"(10YJA630042)
安徽省自然科学基金资助项目"‘情景--应对’决策范式下区域应急资源配置服务及优化调度研究"(11040606M24)
关键词
突发公共事件
应急预案评估
模糊证据推理
多专家决策
public emergency
contingency plan evaluation
iuzzy evidential reasoning
multi-expert decision making
