摘要
本文选取入境游客人天数和旅游外汇收入两个指标,运用均值比率和标准差对中国大陆入境旅游发展的省际差异现状及近十年来的差异变化情况进行探讨,并根据目前的差异性进行区域聚类分析。然后,运用多元线性回归法研究旅游产品、知名度和区位条件等因素对中国区域入境旅游发展(包括入境游客规模和外汇收入)的综合影响和作用。研究结果表明,目前中国入境旅游发展省际差异很大,集聚现象非常突出,7～8个发达省域的入境旅游发展总量超过全国的三分之二,且都位于东部地区,但近十年来这种差异在趋于减小;知名度和区位距离对省域入境旅游发展影响显著,且影响方向相反,知名度呈现正向影响,区位距离起着负向作用。
This paper inquires into the present provincial difference of inbound tourism development in the tourist scale on the basis of the person-day number and tourism foreign exchange in China's Mainland by the methods of mean ratio and standard deviation,and analyzes the regional clustering according to the present difference.The systhesis influence of the tourism product,celebrity degree and regional condition on the regional inbound tourism development is explored using the method of multivariate linear regression analysis.The results indicate the following： there is bigger difference in provincial inbound tourism development in China at present,and the assembling phenomenon is very prominent.The total quantity of inbound tourism of seven to eight developed provincial regions exceeds two thirds of the whole country,which are all in the east region of China;the difference of provincial inbound tourism development has been showed the reducing trend during the last ten years;the celebrity degree and regional condition have marked influence on the provincial inbound tourism development,in which the celebrity degree has a positive effect and regional distance has a negative influence.
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第12期63-70,共8页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"中国国际旅游市场潜力提升研究"(11BJY123)
关键词
入境旅游
旅游省际差异
旅游影响因素
inbound tourism
provincial difference
influencing factors
