摘要
人力资本是经济增长的重要源泉。本文运用主成分分析法测算出湖南省1988~2008年的人力资本存量。然后基于改进的柯布——道格拉斯生产函数,建立两个模型,利用Johansen协整分析、Granger因果分析方法、VEC模型和脉冲响应函数,比较分析了包含工业化程度和不包含工业化程度的条件下,湖南省人力资本对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明：湖南省人力资本与经济增长存在长期协整关系,但作用并不显著,而短期内人力资本对经济增长存在显著正效应;工业化程度影响了人力资本对经济增长的作用,并且推动了经济增长,但短期内工业化对经济增长的正效应并不显著。
Human capital is the key source of economic growth.This paper used the principal component analysis to measure the human capital of Hunan province spanning from 1988 to 2008.Based on the advanced Cobb-Douglas production function,this paper used Johansen cointegration analysis,Granger causality analysis,VEC model and the impulse response function,establishing two models to measure the contribution of human capital to economic growth under two conditions：obtaining the industrialization or not.The results showed that：the cointegration relationship between human capital and economic growth in Hunan province was existed,but the effect was not significant,while human capital made a great and positive influence on economic growth in short term;the improvement of industrialization not only influenced the effect of human capital to economic growth,but also promoted economic growth,while in short term the positive effect of industrialization to economic growth was not significant.
出处
《工业技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第1期153-160,共8页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
关键词
人力资本
工业化
经济增长
主成分分析
协整分析
human capital
industrialization
economic growth
principal component analysis
cointegration analysis
