摘要
通过实证分析表明,浙江省外贸、FDI与CO2排放之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系。不管是长期或短期,出口贸易、FDI与CO2排放之间均存在双向因果关系,但进口贸易仅是CO2排放的单向格兰杰因。出口贸易和FDI的增长将增加全省的CO2排放,两者对CO2排放的动态影响轨迹均呈不同峰度的倒U曲线,但出口贸易的影响力度明显高于FDI。进口贸易在短期内也会引起CO2排放的增加,但长期内却能减少CO2排放,其对CO2排放的动态影响轨迹呈U曲线。从短期弹性值来看,出口贸易与FDI的增长率变化与CO2排放量的增长率变化同向,但进口贸易与此相反。文章最后就开放经济条件下如何促进浙江低碳经济发展提出了若干对策建议。
Abstract：The results of the empirical research show that there exists a long-standing stable equilibrium relationship between Zhejiang province＇s foreign Trade, FDI and CO： emission. Both in the long or short term, there exists a two-way causal relationship between export, FDI and CO.,, whereas import only Granger causes CO,. The growth of export and FDI increase CO., emission with a dynamic trajectory of an inverted-U curve, though export has a bigger impact than that of FDI. Although import can also increase CO, emission in short term, the situation is in the contrary in long term with the Whole trajectory shaped as an U curve. Viewing from the elasticity number, the growth rate of export and FDI change in the same direction as CO,. emission, while the opposite is for import. This paper finally proposes recommendations on how to promote Zhejiang＇s low-carbon economy under an open economy condition.
出处
《浙江树人大学学报》
2011年第4期38-44,共7页
Journal of Zhejiang Shuren University
基金
浙江省教育厅科研项目"浙江省外贸
FDI与CO2排放的动态关系研究及其对发展低碳经济的启示"(Y200909565)
