摘要
根据1992-2009年的经济数据,利用协整和Granger因果检验、脉冲响应及方差分解等方法,对闽台进出口贸易对福建经济增长的效应进行实证分析。研究表明,福建经济增长与闽台进出口贸易存在长期稳定的关系,闽台进出口贸易有力促进了台湾经济增长。
According to the economic data during 1992-2009,the article empirically analyzed the effect of trade between Fujian and Taiwan on the economic growth of Fujian by employing the measurement of co-integration,granger causality tests,impulse response and variance decomposition.The research indicates that there is a long-term stable relationship between Fujian＇s economic growth and its trade with Taiwan;the import and export trade with Taiwan is a strong impetus to Fujian＇s economic growth.
出处
《西北农林科技大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2012年第1期72-76,共5页
Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)
关键词
闽台贸易
经济增长
协整
脉冲响应方差分解
trade between Fujian and Taiwan
economic growth
co-integration
impulse response
variance decomposition
