摘要
在突发事件应急管理领域,情景研究被定位于一种基础性研究,是应急预案、应急准备等相关研究的基础。通过案例分析与逻辑推理,确定了情景要素的构成,指出应当从灾害体、受灾体和抗灾体三个维度对情景进行表达。提出了图形化的情景表达方法,指出情景表达应当体现出情景要素三个维度要素之间的作用关系以及作用强度。情景的表达是一种动态的表达,会随着时间的推移而动态发展,从而成为决策的依据。在此基础上,研究了情景在空间上的分解以及情景在时间上的演变,探讨了单一事件演变过程中情景间的关系。
The study of scenario,which is a base of emergency plan and emergency preparing,is located in a basic research in emergency management.By case analysis and logic reasoning,the composition of scenario elements which include three dimensions of disaster system,counter-disaster system,and victims is confirmed.A visualization method of scenario expression is suggested.The expression of scenario needs to determine the key elements of a scenario and analyze the relationships among the elements of a scenario.The disassemble of scenarios in space and the evolution of scenario with time are studied,and the relationship of scenarios is discussed.
出处
《电子科技大学学报（社科版）》
2012年第1期48-52,共5页
Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金:基于情景
压力和经验交互作用的非常规突发事件应急实时决策行为研究(70901072)
关键词
应急决策
情景要素
情景表达
情景间关系
emergency decision-making
elements of a scenario
expression of a scenario
relationship among scenarios
