中国出口贸易隐含碳排放增长及其驱动因素研究被引量：43

Research on CO_2 Embodied in China’s Export and Its Driving Factors

导出

摘要文章基于可比价投入产出表,利用结构分解分析法研究了中国出口贸易隐含碳排放增长及其驱动因素。中国出口贸易隐含碳排放数量巨大,在中国碳排放总额中占比很高,且在行业分布和国别流向方面表现出较高的集中度;出口总量增长是导致中国出口贸易隐含碳排放增长的主要因素,而直接排放系数降低和中间生产技术进步对碳排放增长起到了一定的抑制作用,但出口结构改善对抑制碳排放增加的作用非常有限,在某些年份和个别出口贸易伙伴中,由于结构恶化反而导致碳排放增加。因此,我国在采取措施降低出口碳排放强度的同时,亟需进一步加大出口商品升级换代的力度。 Based on constant price input-output tables,this paper has researched the CO2 emissions embodied in China’s export and its driving factors by using structural decomposition analysis.The result indicates that the CO2 emissions embodied in China’s export not only has an enormous quantity and high ratio in China’s total CO2 emissions,but also has a high concentration ratio.Export volume is the main driving factor which results in the rapid growth of the CO2 emissions embodied in China’ s export.The reduction of direct coefficient of CO2 emissions and the advance of intermediate technique has restrained the growth to some degree.However,the restraint effect of export structure improvement is quite limited.On the contrary,the deterioration of export structure induced CO2 emissions in some years and some exporting countries.Therefore,China should take measures to lower the CO2 emission coefficients.On the same time,it is urgent to strengthen the updating and upgrading of China’ s export commodities.

作者杜运苏张为付

机构地区南京财经大学国际经贸学院

出处《国际贸易问题》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第3期97-107,共11页 Journal of International Trade

基金国家社会科学基金青年项目"低碳经济下提升我国制造业贸易竞争力研究"(批准号11CJY045) 国家社会科学基金"低碳经济与我国参与国际分工战略的调整研究"(批准号10BJL033)的研究成果

关键词出口隐含碳驱动因素投入产出法结构分解 CO2 embodied in export Driving factors Input-output analysis SDA

分类号 F752.62 [经济管理—国际贸易]

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献10

1李艳梅,付加锋.中国出口贸易中隐含碳排放增长的结构分解分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(8):53-57. 被引量：65
2Tewfik E, Saberinia A H. High Bit Rate Ultra-Wideband OFDM[A]. Global Telecommunications Conference, 2002, IEEE GLOBECOM '02, 2002,(3):2268-2264.
3齐晔,李惠民,徐明.中国进出口贸易中的隐含碳估算[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2008,18(3):8-13. 被引量：270
4张友国.中国贸易含碳量及其影响因素——基于(进口)非竞争型投入产出表的分析[J].经济学（季刊）,2010,9(3):1287-1310. 被引量：149
5Ahmed,N.,and A.Wyckoff.,(2003)“Carbon Dioxide Emissions Embodied in International Trade of Goods,”OECD Science,Technology and Industry Working Papers No.2003/15.
6Dietzenbacher E,and B.Los.,(1998)“Structural Decomposition Techniques:Sense and Sensitivity,”Economic System Research 10(4).
7Dong et al.,(2010)“An Analysis of the Driving Forces of CO2 Emissions Embodied in Japan-China Trade,”Energy Policy 38.
8Lin,B.,and C.Sun.,(2010)“Evaluating Carbon Dioxide Emissions in International Trade of China,”Energy Policy 38(3).
9Weber,C.,G.Peters,D.Guan,and K.Hubacek.,(2008)“The Contribution of Chinese Exports to Climate Change,”Energy Policy 36(9).
10Yan,Y.,and L.Yang.,(2010)“China’s Foreign Trade and Climate Change:A Case Study of CO2 Emissions,”Energy Policy 38(1).

二级参考文献60

1李景华.SDA模型的加权平均分解法及在中国第三产业经济发展分析中的应用[J].系统工程,2004,22(9):69-73. 被引量：67
2周志田,杨多贵.虚拟能——解析中国能源消费超常规增长的新视角[J].地球科学进展,2006,21(3):320-323. 被引量：20
3王文中,程永明.地球暖化与温室气体的排放——中日贸易中的CO_2排放问题[J].生态经济,2006,22(7):22-25. 被引量：6
4Y Kondo, Y Moriguchi, H Shimizu. CO2 Emissions in Japan: Influences of Imports and Exports. Applied Energy, 1998, 59 (2 - 3) : 163 - 174.
5Jesper Munksgaard, Lise-Lotte Pade, Jan Minx , et al. Influence of Trade on National CO2 Emissions. International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 2005, 23 (4): 324- 336.
6Glen P Peters, Edgar G. Hertwich. Post-kyoto Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Production and Versus Consmnption. Climatic Change, 2008, 86:51 - 66.
7Glen P Peters, Edgar G Hertwich. CO2 Embodied in Intemational Trade with Implications for Global Climate Policy[J]. Environ. Sci. Technol, 2008, 42(5):1401 - 1407.
8中国气候变化国别研究组.中国气候变化国别研究[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2009:33-69.
9Glen P Peters. From Production-based to Consumption-based National Emission Inventories [J]. Ecological Economics, 2008, 65 ( 1 ) : 13 - 23.
10Dietzenbacher, E. , and B. Los, "Structural Decomposition Techniques: Sense and Sensitivity", Economic System Research, 1998, 10(4), 307-323.