摘要
本文运用灰色关联法比较分析了中国与美国、印度、印度尼西亚、墨西哥四个人口大国的经济增长主动力的差异。实证结果表明,国内需求是中国与这四个国家经济增长的主动力,然而不同的是,这四个国家的消费需求对经济增长的影响大于投资需求的影响,而中国则是投资需求对经济增长的影响大于消费需求的影响;另外,净出口对中国经济增长的影响也大于这四个国家。据此,本文强调中国应加快形成内需尤其是消费需求为主,同时积极利用外需共同拉动经济增长的格局,促使经济更加稳定的可持续发展。进一步,本文也提出了相关扩大内需的政策建议。
This paper applies the gray relation method to analyze and compare the differences of driving force of economic growth of China with the other four populous countries Which are United States, India, Indonesia and Mexico. The empirical results show that domestic demand is the main driving force of economic growth in China and the four countries. But there are differences between China and these countries. In the four countries, the impact of consumption demand on economic growth is greater than the impact of investment demand, while the impact of investment demand on economic growth in China is greater than the impact of consumption demand ; In addition, compared to the four countries, the impact of net exports on economic growth in China is bigger. Accordingly, to promote economic stability and sustainable develop- ment,this paper emphasizes that China should insist on domestic demand - oriented, especially on the domestic consumption - oriented, and then active use of foreign demand. Further, a number of policy proposals are made to expand domestic demand.
出处
《经济与管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第3期5-11,共7页
Research on Economics and Management
基金
福建省科技计划(软科学)项目"海西区区城协同发展研究"(2009R076)
福建省社科规划项目"二元结构下的城市化与经济增长研究"(2011Z012)
关键词
内需拉动
经济增长
国际比较
Domestic Demand Oriented
Economic Growth
International Comparison
