摘要
分析长株潭地区高校计算机专业学生人数可反映长株潭地区计算机专业人才需求状况。利用每年高校计算机专业学生人数的平均值,选择Cubic模型、Logistic模型、灰色系统模型仿真其变化趋势,在关联程度相近的前提下,利用均方差最小的原则对模型选优。结果证明,Logistic模型与现实较接近,在预测人才需求趋势上具有较好效果,为长株潭地区高校计算机专业资源配置、招生和就业提供理论依据和实践参考。
The talent demand of computer specialty in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan can be reflected by the number of students of the same major in high school in the area.By using the average number of computer major in high school in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan per year,Cubic model,logistic model,gray system theory model were selected to simulate it＇s change trend.The model which has least ANOVA is the best one when these three models have the similar gray relational grade.The result shows that the logistic model is more approximate to current situation and has better effect in trend forecast.
出处
《中南林业科技大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2011年第11期179-181,196,共4页
Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology
基金
湖南省教育厅科研项目(30972362)
