摘要
技术进步是提高能源利用效率的关键因素,但是能源强度的下降,使得能源产品相对其他生产要素便宜了,这样就会增加更多的能源消费,同时技术进步促进经济的更快增长,反而带来了更多的能源需求,这便出现了技术进步的"能源回弹效应"。利用川渝地区1986—2009年的数据,采用传统的索洛余值生产函数法来测算技术进步对川渝地区的能源回弹效应。实证研究表明,川渝地区能源消费的节约量和回弹量是一个动态变化的过程,并且近年来能源回弹效应总体上呈现下降趋势。
The technological progress is the key factor for improving energy efficiency. It is found that the decrease in energy intensity makes energy products cheaper relative to other products but increases more energy consumption; the technological progress promotes faster economic growth but brings higher energy consumption demand, which results in technological-based ＂energy rebound effect＂. Based on the data from 1986 to 2009 of Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality, and by using the traditional Solow＇ s residual value production function, this paper evaluates the energy rebound effect related to technological progress in Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality. Empirical results show that the saving and rebound is a dynamic process in Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality, and the rebound effect tends to be decreasing on the whole.
出处
《能源技术经济》
2012年第4期39-43,共5页
Electric Power Technologic Economics
基金
四川石油天然气发展研究中心科研项目(SKB09-03)~~
关键词
能源利用效率
能源回弹效应
技术进步
索罗余值法
岭回归
energy efficiency
energy rebound effect
technological progress
Solow＇ s residual
ridge regression
