摘要
本文基于非参数距离函数和环境生产技术,构建了一种生产分解分析新方法,将碳排放变动分解为若干贡献因素,并应用于分析我国工业36个行业碳排放的驱动因素。结果表明,潜在能源结构碳强度对工业二氧化碳排放强度下降的贡献要小于潜在能源强度,能源强度调整空间更大;能源结构碳强度由于煤炭占总能源消费比例过高趋势并未扭转,致使结构节能的潜力并未有效释放;能源利用技术效率改善不明显,各行业能源利用技术效率差异成扩大趋势。
This paper implements environmental production technology and production decomposition analysis, provides the new decomposition framework for analyzing the changes of production efficiency and technology progress, and imple- ments CO2 emissions change decomposition of China＇s 36 industries. The results show that. potential energy intensity yields more contribution on change of CO2 emission than potential CO2 emission per energy consumption. More adjustment space in energy intensity can be further explored. The coal consumption is still too high to release the potential structural energy conservation. The improvement in technology efficiency on energy utilization is non-significant for whole industry, and the disparity gaps on energy utilization technology efficiency among 36 indus- tries are enlarging obviously.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第5期63-74,133,共13页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"不确定条件下我国能源开发
利用和储备可持续发展战略研究"(08&ZD046)
国家自然科学基金面上项目"区域碳排放演化机制及减排配额交易绩效模拟研究"(41071348)
国家自然科学基金青年项目"考虑非期望产出的效率模型及其在能源效率与环境绩效评价研究中的应用"(70903031)
江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划资助项目(CXLX11-0222)资助
关键词
环境生产技术
生产分解分析
工业碳排放
环境全要素生产率
Environmental Production Technology
Production DecompositionAnalysis
Industrial CO2 Emissions
Environmental Total Factor Productivity
