摘要
近年来发达国家的统计数据显示,居民生活消费的直接与间接能源消耗已超过产业部门,成为碳排放的主要增长点。运用STIRPAT模型,研究日本工业化进程中人口因素对碳排放的影响,从人口与消费视角探讨碳排放问题,将对我国工业化阶段的碳减排起到一定的指导作用。提高低碳技术水平、控制人口规模、引导居民消费模式的合理转变将成为控制工业化进程中碳排放的有效手段。
In recent years,the statistics of developed countries show that the direct and indirect energy consumptions of residents＇ living consumption have exceeded the industrial sector and became a major growth point for carbon emissions.Using the STIRPAT model,population trend impact on the carbon emissions during the industrialization process were studied,the carbon emissions problem and the perspective of consumer pressure population were explored,which can guide the carbon reduction of our country＇s industrialization process.The results show population factor is a major one in the increase in carbon emissions during the industrialization process.Raising the level of low-carbon technologies,controlling the size of the population and conducting the low-carbon change of the residents＇ consumption patterns are always the most effective way of carbon emissions in both industrialization stage and post-industrialization stage.
出处
《人口学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第5期39-48,共10页
Population Journal
基金
吉林省科技厅项目:吉林省碳排放峰值预测与低碳发展政策研究(20110638)
吉林省科技厅项目:吉林省民用建筑节能降耗对策研究(20120606)
吉林省发改委项目:低碳经济发展战略研究
吉林大学基本科研业务费项目:人口城市化背景下的中国低碳经济研究(2009JC056)
关键词
日本工业化
人口因素
消费模式
碳排放
STIRPAT模型
Japanese industrialization
population factor
consumption patterns
carbon emissions
STIRPAT model
