技术创新、劳动力就业与产业模式选择:假说、框架和检验被引量：10

Technological Innovation,Empolyment and Industrial Mode: Hypothesis,Framework and Positive Analysis

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摘要从技术和劳动力的替代关系假说出发,探讨中国产业发展过程中技术创新、劳动力就业和产业模式之间的内在联系。研究发现:随着劳动效率的提升,三次产业内部确实存在技术替代劳动力的情况;但从整体和长期来看,技术创新虽然推动了产业结构调整和经济增长,但对劳动力就业总量的影响不显著;只有当大规模技术变革引起产业发生结构性变动时,技术替代劳动力所带来的失业现象才会出现。得出结论:就业在相当大的程度上表现为宏观经济增长的结果,与技术创新的关系并不明朗。 This paper probes into the interrelationship among technology, employment and industrial model in China based on the hypothesis of substitutional relationship between technology and employment. The finding are as follows： there factually exists the substitutional relationship between technology and employment inside each of three industries along with the rising of labor efficiency;however,taking a long view or vie- wing the situation as a whole,technological innovation has few impacts on the growth of total employment though it is the motive power for in dustrial structure adjustment and economic growth;only if technology change with large scale drives the change of industrial structure, the un- employment which results from the substitutional relationship between technology and employment would happen. Finally,it draws a conclusion that employment growth is a result of economic growth,and technological innovation and employment are not strongly tied together.

作者方建国

机构地区福州大学管理学院

出处《技术经济》 CSSCI 2012年第8期33-42,共10页 Journal of Technology Economics

基金教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目"经济发展方式转变中民生福利提升路径和政策调节机制研究:结构-绩效-制度变迁的视角"(12YJA790028)

关键词技术创新劳动力就业产业发展模式技术停滞过度就业产业创新体系 technological innovation labor employment industrial mode technological stagnation full employment industrial innovation system.

分类号 F273.1 [经济管理—企业管理] F249.2 [经济管理—劳动经济] F124 [经济管理—世界经济] F224 [经济管理—国民经济]

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