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中低速电动汽车盈亏敏感性分析 被引量:6

A Benefit Sensitivity Analysis of Medium / Low Speed Electric Vehicle
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摘要 从消费者的角度出发,详细分析和对比了中低速电动汽车和燃油汽车的生命周期成本,并引入盈亏敏感性这一参数来比较两者的优势;且重点分析了未来油价、电池价格和电池寿命对生命周期成本的影响;最后讨论了铅酸电池和锂离子电池的应用可行性,得出在现有的市场和技术水平条件下,装用铅酸电池的中低速电动汽车相对于同级燃油汽车已具有生命周期成本优势;而在油价和电池单价保持现有水平的条件下,锂离子电池只有当寿命延长至15万km时,其生命周期成本才能与燃油汽车达到平衡。 Viewing from the angle of consumers, the life cycle costs (LCCs) of medium/low speed electric vehicles (MLSEV) and conventional fuel vehicles,(CFV) are analyzed and compared, and a parameter of benefit sensitivity is introduced to compare their superiorities, with the focus put on the analysis on the effects of future fuel price, battery price and battery life on LCC. Finally the application feasibilities of lead-acid battery and Li-ion bat- tery are discussed, and it is found that under the current conditions of market and technical level, the MLSEV with lead-acid battery already has superiority over the conventional fuel vehicle of same grade in LCC. As for Li-ion bat- tery, with current prices of fuel and batteries unchanged CFV in LCC. , only when its service life reach 150,000 km can it match
出处 《汽车工程》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2012年第9期859-863,共5页 Automotive Engineering
关键词 中低速电动汽车 动力电池 生命周期成本 盈亏敏感性 medium/low speed electric vehicles power battery life cycle cost benefit sensitivity
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