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影响我国未来粮食自给能力的主要因素研究

Main Factors Influencing China's Food Self-sufficient Ability in Future
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摘要 我国农业可持续发展遭遇困境,未来粮食自给能力受到多种因素影响,国家粮食安全面临危机。影响我国未来粮食自给能力的主要因素为:第一,大量青壮年劳动力离开土地导致农业劳动力结构失衡,老龄化和女性化问题严重;第二,城市化、工业化等现代化的发展导致耕地资源面积减少及质量下降;第三,现代农业的发展对矿物能源产生过度依赖,动摇了粮食生产的基础;第四,全球气候复杂多变,中国农业表现出明显的脆弱性。 At present,the sustainable development of China's agricultural encounters difficulties,and the food self-sufficient ability in the future is affected by many factors,thereby the national food security is facing a serious crisis.According to the previous studies,there are four main factors will affect the China's food self-sufficient ability in the future: first,a large number of young labor force leave the land lead to imbalance of agricultural labor force,and the problem that agricultural labor force is aging and feminizing become serious;second,the development of modernization such as urbanization and industrialization lead to the decreasing area and quality of cultivated land resources;third,the development of modern agriculture over depends on mineral energy lead to a weak foundation for food production;fourth,with the complex and volatile global climate,China's agriculture showed significant vulnerability.
出处 《湖南农业科学》 2012年第10期126-128,共3页 Hunan Agricultural Sciences
基金 中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金资助(2011JS102)
关键词 粮食安全 粮食自给 农业劳动力 耕地资源 food safety food self-sufficient agricultural labor force cultivated land resources
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