摘要
以GTAP模型为主要工具,评估测算了中国—海合会FTA的可能影响。评估结果表明,中国与海合会国家的自由贸易安排对双边经济和贸易的影响总体上为正面的。从不同方案来看,贸易自由化程度越高,双方进出口数量和金额的增长幅度就越大。中国—海合会自贸区建设不宜久拖不决,中方应在充分理解海合会利益诉求的同时积极争取自身权益。
Applying GTAP model, the paper makes a computable general equilibrium on the impact of Chi- na-GCC FTA? s construction on both sides' trade and economies, and puts forward some suggestions at this point. The result indicates that the influence is positive generally, imports and exports of both sides will advance at different rates and the higher the degree of trade liberalization the higher the rates of rise according to three tar- iff reduction plans. It is better to complete the FTA as early as possible. We should uphold our interests, in the same time understand fully their situation and requirements.
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第6期37-41,共5页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
基金
国家社科基金重大项目"我国新一轮对外开放的战略布局
主要目标与政策选择研究"(项目号:11&ZD007)的阶段性研究成果