摘要
农村经济增长离不开农村金融的支持。基于1985年～2009年的时间序列数据,以农村金融规模、农村金融结构和农村金融效率等三个指标衡量农村金融发展水平,运用协整检验和误差修正模型对我国农村金融发展与农村经济增长的关系进行实证研究。结果显示:农村金融发展与农村经济增长在长期内具有协整关系,在短期内农村经济增长与农村金融结构的关系明显,与农村金融规模和效率的关系则不明显。基于此提出优化农村金融结构、提高农村金融效率等政策建议。
Financial support is very important to the rural economic growth. The paper, based on the 1985 -2009 time series data, builds the three indexes which are the rural financial scale, the rural financial structure and the rural financial efficiency to measure the extent of rural financial development, and uses Cointegration Test and Vector Error Correction Model to analyze the relationship between financial develop- ment and economic growth in rural areas of China. The results show that in the long term there is a eointrgra- tion relationship between rural financial development and economic growth, and in the short term the rela- tionship between rural financial structure and rural economic growth is obvious, but the relationship between rural financial scale or efficiency and economic growth is not obvious. According to the empirical results, the paper gives some policy suggestions such as optimizing the rural financial structure and improving the rural fi- nancial efficiency.
出处
《广东商学院学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第6期59-65,共7页
Journal of Guangdong University of Business Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(08BJL011)
关键词
农村金融发展
农村经济增长
协整检验
误差修正模型
rural financial development
rural economic growth
Cointegration Test
Vector Error Cor-rection Model
