摘要
人口老龄化是工业与科技革命所带来的死亡率与生育率下降的结果。中国已经具备了建立覆盖社会全体成员的基本社会保障制度的条件,但即便中国现在建立起来比较健全的基本社保制度,持续(超)低生育率与倒金字塔型人口年龄结构也注定社保制度难以为继。人口高度老化使经济增长与科技创新乏力,从而使依靠经济增长与科技进步解决人口老龄化问题的愿望落空。生育率必须维持在更替水平、更长时间的工作、使退休者的社会保障维持适度水平并逐步缩小退休者社保水平之间的差别是中国未来应对人口老龄化挑战的根本之策。
This article attempts to propose several popular arguments about aging population issues in China and points out that population aging stems from the decline in mortality and fertility rates as a result of industrial and technological revolution.It says it will weaken economic growth and technological innovation so that it is doubtful that we can rely on these to solve the problem of population aging.China has adequate financial capacity to provide all of its society with full coverage from a basic social security system.At the same time,a higher level of social benefits,welfare rigidity and economic stagnation,treasury resource shortages as well as a higher rate of population aging have posed more severe challenges to developed countries.
出处
《国际经济评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第6期110-123,7,共14页
International Economic Review
基金
江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目"江苏老龄化社会与服务体系
公共政策研究"(课题编号:2011ZDAXM017)的部分研究成果
