摘要
目的:分析上海市浦东新区2002—2009年甲状腺癌发病的变化趋势。方法:利用2002—2009年浦东新区居民甲状腺癌的发病资料,按性别和年龄组计算发病率,用世界标准人口计算标化率,采用对数直线回归法估算发病率的年度变化百分比(annual percent change,APC)。结果:2002—2009年,浦东新区甲状腺癌的发病总数为2489例,男女性发病比例为1:3.37。甲状腺癌发病率由2002年的6.71/10万上升至2009年的20.08/10万。2002—2009年,男女性甲状腺癌的发病率呈逐年上升趋势,男女性均在35~岁组呈现最为明显的上升趋势。结论:上海市浦东新区2002—2009年甲状腺癌的发病率增长较快,特别是对青年女性的影响日益加剧,应加强控制影响浦东新区居民患甲状腺癌的危险因素。
Objective: To investigate the trend of thyroid cancer incidence in Pudong New Area in Shanghai from 2002 to 2009. Methods: The data of thyroid cancer incidence in Pudong New Area from 2002 to 2009 were collected. The incidence rate was calculated by gender and age, and the ASR (age-standardized rate) was estimated by world population. The APC (annual percent change) of incidence was estimated by linear regression based on the logarithm of the incidence rates observed. Results: During the period from 2002 to 2009, a total of 2 489 thyroid cancer cases had been diagnosed, and the ratio of male and female incidence was 1︰3.37. The incidence has increased from 6.71/100 000 in 2002 to 20.08/100 000 in 2009. The incidence of thyroid cancer from 2002 to 2009 was increasing in both male and female, substantially in the population with age of 35-39 years. Conclusion: The incidence of thyroid cancer was increased rapidly from 2002 to 2009, especially in young women. The risk factors of thyroid cancer must be controlled among the residents in Pudong New Area.
出处
《肿瘤》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第12期987-991,共5页
Tumor